2026년 중국 본토가 통일되면 대만은 소극적인 선택지 몇 개만 남게 됩니다. 하나는 미국인의 지도 아래 전멸을 각오한 저항을 하는 것이고, 두 번째는 유베이첸의 방식에 따라 비효율적인 저항을 하는 것이고, 세 번째는 복종하는 척하면서 은밀히 저항하는 것이고, 네 번째는 성실하게 협력하고 영광을 나누는 것입니다.
С 1981 по 2022 год политические уступки, которые материковый Китай предоставлял Тайваню, менялись в одном направлении. Версия Е Цзяньина предлагала почти независимость. Версия Дэн Сяопина предлагала полную содержательную автономию. версия двух систем Гонконга 1997 года была на самом деле привлекательной для Тайваня. подвергнутая цензуре версия двух систем Гонконга 2020 года, возможно, никогда не стала моделью Тайваня. Белая книга по Тайваню 2022 года - это фактически версия Си Цзиньпина об официальной версии двух систем Тайваня. В этой версии Тайвань окончательно утратил свои «субстантивные двухсистемные» предпочтения.
Abstract: T here are two certain losers, Ukraine and the EU , produced from the Russia-Ukraine War already. Europe as a whole has lost its prospect to become one of the top powers of the world. Ukraine has lost its power over its territory more than it had done before the war started. Worse yet, Ukraine might lose its construction frame as a whole country. There i s one certain winner and that is Russia because it will strongly stand at its bottom line built by a complete border of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. With this bottom line, Russia has accomplished two main goals. The se include the de-Nazification of eastern Ukraine and halting the humanitarian catastrophe in the Donbas region. Russia may win more with the best possibility to set up a blocking wall along the east bank of the Dnieper River and the Black Sea Coast. There are two other big winners if the war is confined to a limited-scale . They are America and China. A...
Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War : Reality Basis, Opportunity , and Prospects (Original at May 23,2022) Abstract: The overwhelming power to set up where and when the ceasefire line comes out is the United States only , even though Russia, West Europe, and China also are important background factors. T here are theoretically 3 ceasefire lines in the Russia-Ukrain e W ar. Line 1 is a geographical demarcation drawn by the Dnieper River plus the Black Sea Coastline . Line 2 is bounded by the complete administrative boundary of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions. Line 3 is any arc in the wide area between lines 1 and 2. I f the United States only pursues a limited outcome in this Russia-Ukraine War and does not directly involve other countries , the United States will ha ve enough initiative to draw a stable ceasefire line anywhere in L1, L2, and even L3. For Russia, corresponding to the uncertainty brough...
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